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MI2 Partners – Thoughts From The Divide: Spectacle

BY JON WEBB
Another week into Trump 2.0 and you’d be forgiven for starting to tune out some of the news around the administration. After all, nothing screams kabuki more than touting “yuge” concessions from the Canadian and Mexican governments that were already in the works… Admittedly it’s two birds with one stone (that was going to be thrown anyway) for the US’s neighbors, but it does make it hard to take the threat of tariffs seriously. That being said, while some of the spectacle is certainly theater, like a bullfight it does come with horns as markets and political actors react to the latest news. Read more →

C8 Currency Compass – March 2025 – ‘Trade Wars are Good and Easy to Win’ Pres Trump (2018)

BY JON WEBB
Our January switch to USD weakness has worked well.  The USD models are more neutral now.  US tariffs have had a mixed USD reaction to the various currencies.  The other country's response and context matters. Read more →

MI2 Partners Thoughts From The Divide: Breaking up is hard to do

BY JON WEBB
Friday is a Non-Farm Payroll day, and the early indications have pointed to a softer report. Private sector hiring, as reported by ADP, rose by just 37,000 in May, the lowest in more than two years. The weekly claims data added to the impression of softness in employment, hitting a seven-month high. While 247,000 claims are hardly a collapse, it might indicate less “fat” in the labour market, meaning that the Labour market doesn't have the momentum it had in '22. Read more →
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