The Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy entered this month recommending a fully invested allocation. The NDR Catastrophic Stop model is based on the combination of two proprietary composites: 1) the Internal Composite (technical and price-related indicators) and 2) the External Composite (fundamental, economic, interest rate, and behavioral/sentiment indicators). Each composite is one-half of the overall score.

The sector model remained with a mix of cyclical and defensive leadership during the month. Entering August, the sector model is overweight Consumer Discretionary, as well as Health Care and Utilities. Information Technology dropped to marketweight. Materials, Industrials, Financials, Consumer Staples, Communication Services, and Real Estate are underweight.

Click the link below to read more about the strategy’s positioning.

Full strategy commentary: NDRSASDH202308021

Visit the Day Hagan research page for access to additional commentary and webcasts.

Other posts

Day Hagan/NDR Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy January 2024 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy, model and allocations update. Read more →

MI2: Forecasting A Seismic Move in Markets and the Global Economy

BY JON WEBB
At the start of the year, we watched with growing concern as U.S. markets soared to extremes, seemingly indifferent to economic and geopolitical realities.  The rally wasn’t driven by fundamentals but by an endless stream of hyperbolic adjectives and increasingly outlandish claims of quick fortunes to be made. Read more →

C8 Currency Compass – USD Correction – January 2025

BY JON WEBB
Our FX models for USD against EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD and  NOK, which were largely USD positive last year, reversed in January.  In particular, our reversion models are suggesting some strength in these currencies against USD in the near term.  Nevertheless, the continued outperformance of the US economy, alongside sluggish growth in Europe, suggests that any USD reversal will not be sustained. Read more →
Back to all posts →