Day Hagan/NDR Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy February 2022 Update

Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy, model and allocations update.
BY BRIAN SANBORN

The Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy is cautious and holds a 50% cash allocation. The NDR Catastrophic Stop model is based on the combination of two proprietary composites: 1) the Internal Composite (technical and price-related indicators) and 2) the External Composite (fundamental, economic, interest rate, and behavioral/sentiment indicators). Each composite is one-half of the overall score.

This month’s allocation to U.S. equities is overweight Energy, Health Care, Materials, Industrials, Staples, and Utilities. The model is underweight Consumer Discretionary, Information Technology, and Communication Services. The sector allocations are determined using NDR’s Sector Model, where each sector has sector-specific, weight-of-the-evidence composites of fundamental, economic, technical, and behavioral indicators to determine the sector’s probability of outperforming the S&P 500.

Click the link below to read more about the strategy’s positioning.

Full strategy commentary: NDRSASDH202202021

Visit the Day Hagan research page for access to additional commentary and webcasts.

Other posts

Thoughts From The Divide: Signs of Life

BY JON WEBB
For those of us who regularly follow the “wonksphere” on social media, it’s been hard to ignore the pushback against the doom and gloom that economic sentiment surveys have consistently reported. Commentators like Stancil and Sahm have bitterly complained about the disconnect between the public’s negative perceptions relative to the hard economic data, which is ostensibly pretty good. In this, they have been carrying water for policymakers like Lael Brainard, who have attempted to burnish the Administration’s economic achievements to push back against the negative perception of the economy. The most obvious of those achievements is the decline in inflation – see, we told you it was transitory! Read more →

C8 Hedge – Hedge with an Edge

BY JON WEBB
We are delighted to announce that C8 Technologies is launching a systematic FX hedging platform which helps businesses easily and effectively manage their currency exposures. C8 Hedge offers corporate treasurers and investment professionals precise guidance for actively and optimally managing their foreign exchange exposures across multiple currencies, using intuitive and simple to use online tools. Read more →

C8 Hedge – Currency Compass – Manage Currency Balances with C8 Hedge – June 2025

BY JON WEBB
All corporates and asset managers hold cash balances, to cover upcoming outgoings and, in reserve, an excess balance, for example, in case of fund redemption.  A corporate or asset manager will build excess balances as they randomly accrue in various currency accounts, we propose managing these cash balances in a more systematic way. As regular readers will know, C8 Hedge is designed to add value to the FX hedging process by modelling key drivers of FX markets: fundamental, trend, carry and value.  Importantly, these key drivers can be just as easily used to optimise cash balances. Hold excess cash in currencies that are likely to appreciate on a total return basis (combining spot movement and interest carry). Read more →
Back to all posts →