The Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy entered this month recommending a fully invested position. The NDR Catastrophic Stop model is based on the combination of two proprietary composites: 1) the Internal Composite (technical and price-related indicators) and 2) the External Composite (fundamental, economic, interest rate, and behavioral/sentiment indicators). Each composite is one-half of the overall score.

Entering January, the sector model is overweight Information Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Energy. Health Care improved to marketweight. Communication Services, Materials, Industrials, and Real Estate dropped to underweight. Financials, Consumer Staples, and Utilities remained at underweight.

Full strategy commentary: NDRSASDH202401041

Visit the Day Hagan research page for access to additional commentary and webcasts.

Other posts

Thoughts From The Divide: Finding Reasons

BY JON WEBB
The latest flurry of Fed speak has been a broad recanting of the previously guaranteed, 100% for sure, cuts this year, with members saying, “I definitely don’t feel urgency to cut rates”, “I’m not in a mad dash hurry to get there[, to lower rates]”, and “at some point, … we will start to normalize policy back to a less restrictive stance [ed. Ha!], but we don’t have to do that in a hurry”. It’s nice to be vindicated. But now what? Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: Danger to Itself

BY JON WEBB
In an op-ed for MSNBC, the “former Federal Reserve economist” warned against the Fed keeping “interest rates too high for too long”, which would cause it to “fail at its job” and snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Sahm argues that the economy is “on course” for a soft landing, but “Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell is not flying the plane, despite the popular narrative” (which is a far kinder metaphor than Jay being a toddler in the back seat with a toy steering wheel). Sahm suggests that “giving the Fed credit means we could learn the wrong lesson”. Read more →

Powell Sees a “More Cautious Fed” Ahead of the November Employment Report

BY TEMATICA
Why we're focusing more on the report's wage data findings than job figures Read more →
Back to all posts →