Day Hagan/NDR Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy January 2024 Update

Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy, model and allocations update.
BY BRIAN SANBORN

The Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy entered this month recommending a fully invested position. The NDR Catastrophic Stop model is based on the combination of two proprietary composites: 1) the Internal Composite (technical and price-related indicators) and 2) the External Composite (fundamental, economic, interest rate, and behavioral/sentiment indicators). Each composite is one-half of the overall score.

Entering January, the sector model is overweight Information Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Energy. Health Care improved to marketweight. Communication Services, Materials, Industrials, and Real Estate dropped to underweight. Financials, Consumer Staples, and Utilities remained at underweight.

Full strategy commentary: NDRSASDH202401041

Visit the Day Hagan research page for access to additional commentary and webcasts.

Other posts

Day Hagan/NDR Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy January 2024 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy, model and allocations update. Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin: Return to Income

BY ROBERT MINIKIN
Whilst the New Year's recovery in stock markets has grabbed much of the headlines, we also note that last year's fixed income sell-off has created opportunities in income products.  This week we illustrate this using C8 Studio, with income-generating indices from Vettafi. Read more →

MI2 for C8 – JPY Liftshaft Alert

BY JON WEBB
There is a window emerging for position reduction in the widely held JPY carry trade. Positions are crowded at the same time that the rationale for the extension of the current benign regime is diminishing (carry, carry-to-vol, policy divergence, etc). There is no sense of danger within analyst expectations or embedded in option pricing. While we lack an immediate catalyst, sometimes price can be its own trigger. With USDJPY around 156 and an easily defined stop loss, the risk reward of engaging with JPY strength is compelling. Escalator / liftshaft price action provides significant convexity. Crowded JPY shorts would also need to be covered in the event of a risk-off catalyst coming from other asset classes. Owning USDJPY puts can be an attractive portfolio hedge for investors concerned about general market complacency or for more active tactical FX managers and traders. Read more →
Back to all posts →