Midstream/MLPs: Well-Positioned for Inflation

From used cars to groceries, inflation is rampant across multiple sectors amid the reopening of the global economy, and though the delta variant has stalled reopening, expectations for inflation continue to gain steam. Yesterday’s note discusses how midstream can protect investors from the effects of inflation and potentially benefit them through a sustained inflationary period.
BY SARAH GRIECO

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Thoughts From The Divide: Lack of Action

BY JON WEBB
It’s another week of heavy-hitting inflation data, with PPI coming in hotter than expected, CPI was in line with expectations on a year-on-year basis, and import prices “rose by the most in two years in April amid rising costs for energy products and other goods”. Under the hood, both CPI and import prices showed additional signs of running hot, with the latter featuring an upwardly revised 0.6% month-on-month change in March, and the CPI data, including hot readings in some of the niches and metrics followed by Powell et al., such as the  4.0% annualized reading in six-month Core CPI and a sobering 6.0% annualized reading in six-month Core Services. Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin: Trick or Treat for ‘Long Only’?

BY ROBERT MINIKIN
This week’s Fed meeting will be watched closely for hints of a policy pivot following reports that some officials favour slower policy tightening and amidst a revival in global risk appetite. In this Bulletin we take a look at the recovery in the performance of 'long only' strategies on the C8 platform. Read more →

Thoughts From the Divide: Avoiding the Inverse

BY JON WEBB
Along with the release of the January Fed minutes this week, there was a deluge of Fed Speak, with Jefferson, Harker, Waller, and Cook all opining on the outlook for cuts. Most of the refrain was along the lines of Powell’s need for “confidence”, with Waller saying that he needed “to see at least another couple more months of inflation data” and Cook echoing the idea, saying that “as we gain greater confidence that disinflation is ongoing and sustainable, that changing outlook will warrant a change in the policy rate”. Harker pushed back on immediate cuts, asking for markets to “just give us a couple of meetings”, following up by saying, “I would caution anyone from looking for it right now and right away”. But while there may be some pushback on timing, that cuts are coming appears to be very much fait accompli in the mind of the Fed. Read more →
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