The equity allocation continues to be above benchmark weighting.

Two-thirds of the indicators, which weigh the relative attractiveness of stocks and bonds, favor stocks.

U.S. Large Caps, U.S. Growth, and U.S. Small Caps received the highest allocations. Click the link below to read more about the strategy’s positioning.

Full strategy commentary: NDRDAS202502031

Other posts

MI2 for C8 – JPY Liftshaft Alert

BY JON WEBB
There is a window emerging for position reduction in the widely held JPY carry trade. Positions are crowded at the same time that the rationale for the extension of the current benign regime is diminishing (carry, carry-to-vol, policy divergence, etc). There is no sense of danger within analyst expectations or embedded in option pricing. While we lack an immediate catalyst, sometimes price can be its own trigger. With USDJPY around 156 and an easily defined stop loss, the risk reward of engaging with JPY strength is compelling. Escalator / liftshaft price action provides significant convexity. Crowded JPY shorts would also need to be covered in the event of a risk-off catalyst coming from other asset classes. Owning USDJPY puts can be an attractive portfolio hedge for investors concerned about general market complacency or for more active tactical FX managers and traders. Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: Is it safe?

BY JON WEBB
We were very sad to see that Warren Mosler has decided to take an extended break from posting on X. Mr Mosler has helped inform our views about the overall policy stance. Most of all, Mosler was right: tight monetary policy did not stop the economy, and those who bet on that lost. Fiscal was certainly a factor, although reasonable people might debate how much of a factor. But with Fed officials mostly of like mind in thinking it is time to cut rates (see quote above), the question we find ourselves asking is whether it is finally safe to bet against Mosler. Or, to put it another way, “Is the U.S. consumer tapped out?”. Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin: US Earnings and the Corporate Balance Sheet

BY JON WEBB
Amidst the US Q3 earnings season, this Bulletin takes a quick look at corporate debt dynamics - a particular focus as market repricing has substantially boosted returns from short-maturity corporate credit exposure. C8 platform rates products are very diverse, ranging from cross-asset allocation to direct bond investment portfolios based on the S&P iBoxx bond indices and targeting specific credit/duration risks. Read more →
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