The Dynamic Allocation Strategy’s allocation to equities remains near 100%. All six top-level indicators in the model (relative strength, participation, leading economic indicators, shipping rates, manufacturing, and central banks) favor equities over fixed income. Within the equities decision, U.S. Large-Cap, U.S. Value, and U.S. Small-Caps received the largest weightings.

Click the link below to read more about the strategy’s positioning.

Full strategy commentary: NDRDAS202105041

Other posts

Thoughts From The Divide: If Then

BY JON WEBB
With another “most important Fed meeting of our lifetime” squarely in the rearview, and the first round of knee-jerk market moves pass to the side mirrors, it’s worth reflecting a little on the Fed Chair Powell’s “works”. The “biggest” move was the announced tapering of treasuries QT to roughly $25b from the previous rate of $60b of run off a month, but beyond that Fed confidence was conspicuous by its absence. The Chairman stated as much, admitting that “the data have not given us that greater confidence” that inflation was moving toward the 2% goal that Powell indicated necessary (how long is a piece of string?) for cuts. Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: The Moon

BY JON WEBB
If the Fed can “only know” the neutral rate (and hence whether policy is restrictive) “by its works”… there may be reason to think that the music is still playing. Whether it’s the price surges of misspelled celebrity memecoins ICOs such as “Joram Poowel” (a coin based on Elizabeth Warren was the “Top gainer” at the time of writing), the return of the Manufacturing PMI to positive territory “for the first time in 17 months”, or the simple good old fashioned break out of gold to all-time highs (sympathy to all mining stock bros, miners have failed to attract the same level of enthusiasm), the “restrictive” territory being bandied about seems less of a place of economic pain, and more one of milk and honey. Read more →

NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy September 2023 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
The NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy, Positioning Update Read more →
Back to all posts →