The Dynamic Allocation Strategy equity weighting declined to near benchmark.

The six top-level indicators are split between equities and fixed income.

U.S. Large-Caps, short-term Treasurys, cash, and U.S. Growth received the highest allocations. Click the link below to read more about the strategy’s positioning.

Full strategy commentary: NDRDAS202311021

Other posts

NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy July 2024 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
The NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy, Positioning Update Read more →

MI2: Forecasting A Seismic Move in Markets and the Global Economy

BY JON WEBB
At the start of the year, we watched with growing concern as U.S. markets soared to extremes, seemingly indifferent to economic and geopolitical realities.  The rally wasn’t driven by fundamentals but by an endless stream of hyperbolic adjectives and increasingly outlandish claims of quick fortunes to be made. Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: The Door is Wide Open

BY JON WEBB
Last week, we flagged Bill Dudley’s abrupt change of mind: he now advocates immediate rate cuts. One might be forgiven for suspecting Bill had spent the week lobbying his old colleagues because the July 31st FOMC statement, and J Powell’s subsequent presser gave rates markets quite the boost. Of course, there were the usual Powell caveats: “If we were to see, for example, inflation moving down quickly - or more or less in line with expectations - growth remains reasonably strong, and the labor market remains consistent with its current condition, then I would think that a rate cut could be on the table at the September meeting”. But judging from SOFR pricing, the market took Powell’s caveats as mere teasing. Powell’s presser comments suggested maybe 50bps of cuts by year-end, but Dec 25 SOFR pricing suggests at least 75bps. Read more →
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