The Dynamic Allocation Strategy’s equity allocation remains near benchmark weighting.

Three of the six top-level indicators in the model favor equities over fixed income and cash.

U.S. Small-Caps, U.S. Large-Caps, U.S. Value, and cash received the highest allocations. Click the link below to read more about the strategy’s positioning.

Full strategy commentary: NDRDAS202209021

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Thoughts From The Divide: Danger to Itself

BY JON WEBB
In an op-ed for MSNBC, the “former Federal Reserve economist” warned against the Fed keeping “interest rates too high for too long”, which would cause it to “fail at its job” and snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Sahm argues that the economy is “on course” for a soft landing, but “Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell is not flying the plane, despite the popular narrative” (which is a far kinder metaphor than Jay being a toddler in the back seat with a toy steering wheel). Sahm suggests that “giving the Fed credit means we could learn the wrong lesson”. Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: Strength in Numbers

BY JON WEBB
The rest of the world isn’t quite experiencing the same economic momentum as the US (the latest S&P Flash PMI noted that “input costs rose at the fastest pace in six months, while firms increased their selling prices to the largest extent since April last year”), making cuts a more palatable choice, but we feel for the Fed, who wants to be the odd man out? Read more →

MI2 Partners Thoughts From The Divide: Turbulent Priests

BY JON WEBB
Last week’s TFTD “Trump twists, Powell sticks”, we noted that “even in the contest between Fed Chair and POTUS, the issue is not certain,” and that “it’s not much fun being a lame duck”. It seems that financial journalists have finally caught up with the story, attributing the recent dollar weakness to Trump’s threat to turn Powell into a lame duck. Read more →
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