Full strategy commentary: NDRFIAS202104061

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MI2 for C8 – The FX Year Ahead – Turning Japanese – Feb 2024

BY JON WEBB
Japan is likely to come into increasing focus this year. With bond yields now being allowed to rise as the BoJ’s Yield Curve Control experiment comes to an end, the BoJ’s roadmap to ending NIRP (if things go to plan), the multi-decade underperformance of Japanese equities still fresh in asset allocators’ minds (despite some promising upside momentum) and a chronically weak currency, (especially on a real effective, inflation-adjusted trade-weighted basis), there is plenty of potential for disruption. Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: The Little Things

BY JON WEBB
Following the warnings from Walmart’s earnings last week, Target announced earnings this week and saw its stock walloped. As the CEO noted, “The ‘biggest challenges’ Target is hearing from its shoppers are ‘inflation in food and household essentials’”, further adding that “inflation is putting a ‘strain on the consumer wallet.’” Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: Downpayments on a Dream

BY JON WEBB
Buddhist teaching holds that all things are in a constant state of flux, implying that we should be prepared to let go of even our most cherished hopes. The John Burns affordability index seems to confirm this, suggesting that, at least for the time being, the American dream of home ownership is out of reach for new buyers. John Burns’ index includes the costs of a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, amortization, insurance, and property taxes (naturally, it’s in the small print). Read more →
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