Entering December, the fixed income allocation strategy shifted to risk-on leadership. The model is overweight Emerging Market bonds, U.S. High Yield, U.S. Investment Grade Corporate, and U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities. The model is underweight U.S. Floating Rate Notes, U.S. Long-Term Treasurys, U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, and International Investment Grade.

Click the link below to read more about the strategy’s positioning.

Full strategy commentary: NDRFIAS202312041

Other posts

NDR Dynamic Allocation Strategy July 2024 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
Dynamic Allocation Strategy, indicators, weightings update Read more →

EURGBP Inflection Point

BY JON WEBB
Sell EURGBP above 0.85. First target 0.82. Longer term targets sub-0.80. Stop above 0.86. Read more →

Thoughts From the Divide: Attribution

BY JON WEBB
In April of last year, Huw Pill caught flack for saying that Brits “need to accept that they’re worse off”. This was followed by John Authers coming to the defense of the pilloried BoE chief economist. As we wrote, Authers noted that the comments were taken out of context and explained that the BoE’s Chief Economist was describing how “after a few external shocks, inflation becomes a collective action problem” where “ideally everyone would take a share of the hit, and then they can move on. Human nature isn’t like that, and as a result, economics isn’t like that”. Now, roughly a year later, the BoE’s Catherine Mann has picked up Mr. Authers’ baton. It turns out that people who can maintain their standard of living will tend to do just that! Bemoaning the “challenge” of bringing inflation back to target, Mann said there was “a lack of consumer discipline” to rein in businesses’ pricing power, Read more →
Back to all posts →