Entering September, the fixed income allocation strategy’s positioning was mixed. Emerging Market bonds, U.S. High Yield, U.S. Investment Grade Corporate, U.S. Long-Term Treasurys, and U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities are above benchmark weight. International Investment Grade, U.S. Floating Rate Notes, and U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities are below benchmark weight.

Click the link below to read more about the strategy’s positioning.

Full strategy commentary: NDRFIAS202409041

Other posts

MI2 Partners Thoughts From The Divide: Never Rains But It Pours

BY JON WEBB
t’s been a challenging week for President Trump. The problems started when the Justice Department released a memo as part of their “commitment to transparency” that explained there was no evidence of an “Epstein client list” or that his death was suspicious. Trump offered a spirited defence of AG Pam Bondi, but this did little to placate the MAGA base, who appeared understandably sceptical. Reports that China believes it has the whip hand in trade negotiations because of its rare earth leverage can’t have improved the President’s mood. Worse still, there does seem to be substance to those reports. One poker tell was the recently announced deal between MP Materials and Apple, which will invest $500mn in rare earth magnets and a recycling facility (of course). That news followed last week’s announcement of a $400mn investment in MP by the Pentagon, no less! Trump then managed to go 0 for 3 when he ostensibly floated a trial balloon on firing Powell. The market reaction prompted a swift walk-back. Read more →

NDR Dynamic Allocation Strategy June 2024 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
Dynamic Allocation Strategy, indicators, weightings update Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: Little Tweaks and Adjustments

BY JON WEBB
“I actually think we’re going to see inflation be choppy, and I expect that we’ll see employment stay robust.” As we noted back in May, “one swallow does not make spring”. But if we are to follow the advice of Keynes/Samuelson, when information changes, we should adjust our conclusions. Blast! The trick is, of course, balancing the two ideas to adjust conclusions when the evidence suggests such an adjustment is appropriate: you might call it Bayesian inference. The above quote from Bostic illustrates the problem, with the Atlanta Fed head implicitly stating that he will be ignoring any hot inflation prints. Read more →
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