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MI2 Partners Thoughts From The Divide: Deciding on “Someone”

BY JON WEBB
A little less than two years ago, we noted, with some surprise, that Huw Pill had bucked the usual central bank modus operandi of avoiding unfortunate truths and had instead gone the direct route, telling the UK “we’re all worse off, and we all have to take our share”. Speaking about inflation, the BoE’s Chief Economist clarified that, “If the cost of what you’re buying has gone up compared to what you’re selling, you’re going to be worse off… Read more →

C8 Currency Compass – September 2024

BY JON WEBB
We are firmly in the 50bp rate cut camp – if  the Fed is worried about employment, they need to get ahead of the curve.  This is likely to put further pressure on the USD in the near term.  USDJPY has hit its downside target (see below) so the benefit is more likely to accrue to the EUR and GBP.  We also see the BoJ on hold this week, which adds weight to this view.  However, we note our systematic models still point to EURUSD and GBPUSD weakness over time, so any bounce may prove a good opportunity to add EUR and GBP hedges.  Read more →

NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy October 2024 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
The NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy, Positioning Update Read more →
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