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Thoughts From The Divide: Adjustments

BY JON WEBB
Last week’s excitement in bond markets came courtesy of Governor Waller offering a mechanical rationale for rate cuts. Simply, “If inflation goes down, you would lower the policy rate.” This came, of course, in the context of warnings about financial conditions and other caveats, but as is so often the case, what the markets heard was “so you’re telling me there’s a chance?”. That doesn’t mean that we disagree with the market’s read of where the Fed’s head is. Fed Governors don’t make too many boo-boos with their messaging, and when they do, it’s often an error of timing rather than content. The market has now priced cuts down to “around 4% by the end of 2024” and while that seems perhaps overdoing the enthusiasm a tad, we suspect that the market has gotten the gist about right.  Read more →

NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy December 2023 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
The NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy, Positioning Update Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin; No, that is not AI

BY ROBERT MINIKIN
This week's issue is guest edited by one of our index providers, Axyon AI. Based in Italy, Axyon AI is a fintech company with a mission to bring AI-powered predictive value to the investment management industry. Using C8 Studio, the performance of Axyon AI's equity indices are then compared with classic market-cap weighted benchmarks. Read more →
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