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MI2 Partners Thoughts From The Divide: Why such honesty?

BY JON WEBB
Geopolitics is one of our favourite distractions – rarely profitable, yet impossible for us to ignore. That’s why Lei’s analysis caught our attention. Her account elegantly solves two puzzles – just the sort of parsimony that appealed to William of Ockham: Why did China suddenly halt drone component sales to Ukraine, and why did Wang Yi become unusually candid about Beijing’s thinking on the Russia-Ukraine war? Read more →

NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy June 2024 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
The NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy, Positioning Update Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: Reversals of Fortune

BY JON WEBB
Last week’s TFTD (“Not Too Hot, Not Too Cold”) referenced Goldilocks to illustrate the tightrope US markets were walking: an economy slow enough to keep bond bulls happy, but not so slow as might spook equity bulls. This week, we continue the bear theme, courtesy of Ernie Tedeschi, and what might be taken as a public service announcement from the BLS, reminding both policymakers and the investing public of the dangers associated with “rear-view mirror driving”. The BLS benchmark revision is usually too wonky to attract press attention. But this is an election year, so naturally the BLS misplacing 818k jobs was an irresistible opportunity for conspiracy theorizing on the platform formerly called “Twitter”. Read more →
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