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MI2 Partners Thoughts From The Divide: “An offshore appropriation”

BY JON WEBB
Last week (“TFTD: Personnel is Policy”), we discussed whether the Trump administration was looking to correct the unforced error of Trump’s first term by focusing on placing Trump sympathizers in as many key public sector positions as possible. With this in mind, the appointment of EJ Antoni to the BLS is instructive, because of Antoni’s association with the Heritage Foundation. “Within hours of Trump’s announcement, economists from across the political spectrum were questioning whether the nominee’s résumé, record, and recent remarks pointed to a commitment to the data — or to the person who appointed him.”  Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin: The asset class ‘du jour’ – corporate bonds!

BY JON WEBB
The latest Financial Times opinion piece 'The Long View' flags investor interest in an exciting new asset class – not crypto, not AI-driven stocks… but newly higher-yielding corporate bonds! January data on ETF inflows certainly underlined the revived US investor appetite for fixed income with overall inflows running slightly of those into equities. Amid this constructive backdrop, USD and EUR corporate bond markets begin 2023 on a robust note.  Read more →

Thoughts From the Divide: Attribution

BY JON WEBB
In April of last year, Huw Pill caught flack for saying that Brits “need to accept that they’re worse off”. This was followed by John Authers coming to the defense of the pilloried BoE chief economist. As we wrote, Authers noted that the comments were taken out of context and explained that the BoE’s Chief Economist was describing how “after a few external shocks, inflation becomes a collective action problem” where “ideally everyone would take a share of the hit, and then they can move on. Human nature isn’t like that, and as a result, economics isn’t like that”. Now, roughly a year later, the BoE’s Catherine Mann has picked up Mr. Authers’ baton. It turns out that people who can maintain their standard of living will tend to do just that! Bemoaning the “challenge” of bringing inflation back to target, Mann said there was “a lack of consumer discipline” to rein in businesses’ pricing power, Read more →
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