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Thoughts From The Divide: Lack of Action

BY JON WEBB
It’s another week of heavy-hitting inflation data, with PPI coming in hotter than expected, CPI was in line with expectations on a year-on-year basis, and import prices “rose by the most in two years in April amid rising costs for energy products and other goods”. Under the hood, both CPI and import prices showed additional signs of running hot, with the latter featuring an upwardly revised 0.6% month-on-month change in March, and the CPI data, including hot readings in some of the niches and metrics followed by Powell et al., such as the  4.0% annualized reading in six-month Core CPI and a sobering 6.0% annualized reading in six-month Core Services. Read more →

Day Hagan/NDR Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy January 2023 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy, model and allocations update. Read more →

C8 Hedge – Currency Compass – Manage Currency Balances with C8 Hedge – June 2025

BY JON WEBB
All corporates and asset managers hold cash balances, to cover upcoming outgoings and, in reserve, an excess balance, for example, in case of fund redemption.  A corporate or asset manager will build excess balances as they randomly accrue in various currency accounts, we propose managing these cash balances in a more systematic way. As regular readers will know, C8 Hedge is designed to add value to the FX hedging process by modelling key drivers of FX markets: fundamental, trend, carry and value.  Importantly, these key drivers can be just as easily used to optimise cash balances. Hold excess cash in currencies that are likely to appreciate on a total return basis (combining spot movement and interest carry). Read more →
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