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Putin Renews Geopolitical Tension, Walmart Earnings

BY TEMATICA
The S&P 500 Outlook - Bank of America vs. Goldman Sachs Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: Disappointment

BY JON WEBB
The Nvidia results were eagerly awaited. This was entirely natural as Nvidia’s performance accounts for about 1/3 of the YtD gains on the S&P500.  However, the results were not well received, which might be considered puzzling given Nvidia’s quarterly numbers met or beat analysts’ estimates on nearly every measure. The problem was not the numbers but what was expected: the “whisper” number. Nvidia investors have grown accustomed to blowout quarters, and these latest numbers were not blowouts. Read more →

C8 Currency Compass – USD Correction – January 2025

BY JON WEBB
Our FX models for USD against EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD and  NOK, which were largely USD positive last year, reversed in January.  In particular, our reversion models are suggesting some strength in these currencies against USD in the near term.  Nevertheless, the continued outperformance of the US economy, alongside sluggish growth in Europe, suggests that any USD reversal will not be sustained. Read more →
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