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NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy May 2023 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
The NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy, Positioning Update Read more →

Day Hagan/NDR Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy December 2024 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
The sector model maintained mixed leadership this month. Entering December, Consumer Discretionary, Financials, and Utilities are above benchmark weight. Communication Services improved to marketweight. Information Technology, Real Estate, Industrials, Materials, Energy, Consumer Staples, and Health Care are below benchmark weight. Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: Little Tweaks and Adjustments

BY JON WEBB
“I actually think we’re going to see inflation be choppy, and I expect that we’ll see employment stay robust.” As we noted back in May, “one swallow does not make spring”. But if we are to follow the advice of Keynes/Samuelson, when information changes, we should adjust our conclusions. Blast! The trick is, of course, balancing the two ideas to adjust conclusions when the evidence suggests such an adjustment is appropriate: you might call it Bayesian inference. The above quote from Bostic illustrates the problem, with the Atlanta Fed head implicitly stating that he will be ignoring any hot inflation prints. Read more →
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