Stargazer Asset Management Weekly – March 29 2021

This week we take a tour through the state of various asset classes and how higher yields remain the driver at the moment.

BY ERIC FILL

SAM Weekly _ March 29 2021

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Day Hagan/NDR Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy March 2023 Update

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Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy, model and allocations update. Read more →

C8 Currency Compass – October 2024

BY JON WEBB

A strong start from Currency Compass last month, where we called for a 50bp Fed rate cut camp but noting our currency models point to EURUSD and GBPUSD weakness, so any bounce is a good opportunity to add EUR and GBP hedges. Indeed it was, with EURUSD hitting 1.12 and GBPUSD 1.34 before falling back. Stronger US data, in particular the employment report, helped cement this view, the chart below illustrates how recent US data has pushed up the Atlanta Fed Q3 GDPNow forecast from 2% to above 3%. Read more →

C8 Currency Compass – September 2024

BY JON WEBB

We are firmly in the 50bp rate cut camp – if the Fed is worried about employment, they need to get ahead of the curve. This is likely to put further pressure on the USD in the near term. USDJPY has hit its downside target (see below) so the benefit is more likely to accrue to the EUR and GBP. We also see the BoJ on hold this week, which adds weight to this view. However, we note our systematic models still point to EURUSD and GBPUSD weakness over time, so any bounce may prove a good opportunity to add EUR and GBP hedges. Read more →

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