Thoughts From The Divide: Julian Brigden’s Latest Interview

In lieu of this week’s Thoughts From The Divide, we wanted to share Julian's latest interview with Ted Oakley, Managing Partner at Oxbow Advisors. In this engaging discussion, Julian addresses economic, stock market, and extreme political instability. In this engaging discussion, Julian addresses economic, stock market, and extreme political instability. 
BY JON WEBB

In lieu of this week’s Thoughts From The Divide, we wanted to share Julian’s latest interview with Ted Oakley, Managing Partner at Oxbow Advisors.

In this engaging discussion, Julian addresses economic, stock market, and extreme political instability. Click the play button below to tune in

Other posts

Thoughts From The Divide: Regrets

BY JON WEBB
With the Fed in blackout, the market has been left to its own devices to digest this week’s onslaught of economic data. The inflation data was particularly indigestible. CPI numbers came in hotter than expectations, with both Core and Headline higher than forecasts on a YoY basis at 3.8% and 3.2%, respectively: only slightly worse than expected, but worse than expected. The market also had to deal with PPI that was substantially hotter than expected: the month on month came in at 0.6%, double the consensus forecast. Under the surface, goods inflation appeared to once again be rearing its head, accounting for “about two-thirds of the rise in the headline PPI”, courtesy of “a 1.2% surge in goods prices, the biggest increase since August 2023”. (The Houthis are not helping). While the Fed may have taken a temporary vow of silence, Yellen is under no such constraint. Speaking in an interview on Fox, the Treasury secretary said, “I regret saying it, [inflation,] was transitory”, following up with the jab that “I think transitory means a few weeks or months to most people” (how long is a piece of string? To be fair, predicting inflation is, apparently, tricky: “there are clear limitations to how far into the future we can forecast inflation”). Read more →

MI2 Partners Thoughts From The Divide: Why such honesty?

BY JON WEBB
Geopolitics is one of our favourite distractions – rarely profitable, yet impossible for us to ignore. That’s why Lei’s analysis caught our attention. Her account elegantly solves two puzzles – just the sort of parsimony that appealed to William of Ockham: Why did China suddenly halt drone component sales to Ukraine, and why did Wang Yi become unusually candid about Beijing’s thinking on the Russia-Ukraine war? Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin: The ExtractAlpha advantage

BY ROBERT MINIKIN
This week’s Bulletin is guest edited by one of C8's index contributors – ExtractAlpha. Their Smart Earnings Index leverages their proprietary US earnings and revenue forecasts - which both consistently outperform the Wall Street consensus. The Index is a highly liquid strategy favouring large cap stocks and has delivered an annual return roughly 40% higher than that of the S&P500 over the past decade - and with similar volatility. Read more →
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