C8 Weekly Bulletin:  Trend-following in

Volatile Times – the C8 Way

23 March 2023

The first quarter of 2023 has been notable for its skittish financial markets. First, there was optimism that this year would prove calmer than 2022, followed by renewed concern about inflation and the impact of bond holdings in the US banking system. This culminated in the forced takeover of Credit Suisse at the weekend.  Traditional trend-following strategies performed strongly in 2022, but these rapid shifts in sentiment have proved more difficult to navigate. The SocGen CTA index is down 6% year-to-date, and down nearly 10% in the past week.

Here is the good news!  The C8 Global Active Futures index avoided this sell-off and remains up on the year.  Why the difference?  C8’s proprietary allocation process selects from a wide range of trend and counter-trend strategies, and is responsive to volatility levels, so adapts more readily to changing market environments.

Indeed, this methodology has outperformed the SocGen CTA index by 40% over the past 3 years (up 68%, versus 26% for the CTA index).

In these more volatile times, we expect liquid alternatives, such as trend-following, to continue to provide good diversification to the classic equity-bond balanced portfolio. The Global Active Futures index is readily accessible on our direct indexing platform, C8 Studio.

In addition, please note a fund provider is proposing to launch a version of the Global Active Futures strategy as a US onshore LP fund in May. It will also be accessible as an offshore fund.  More details to follow..

Other posts

C8 Weekly Bulletin: Europe performs well in ‘long only’ recovery

BY ROBERT MINIKIN
The new calendar year has begun with an explosive extension of the 'long only' asset rally which has been underway since last October’s Fed signal of smaller rate hikes. The positive case for European asset markets specifically been reinforced by a new slide in regional natural prices – to levels last seen ahead of the Ukraine invasion. In this Weekly Bulletin, we take a look at how investors can build European asset market exposure on the C8 platform. Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: Hold On Tight

BY JON WEBB
“It’s obvious that there’s going to be stress and losses”. The comment is from Janet Yellen’s comments this week and comes from the discussion of the ongoing CRE dumpster fire. Stress and losses aside, the Treasury Secretary was unruffled, following up with the comment, “I hope and believe that this will not end up being a systemic risk to the banking system.” Yellen did admit that size matters. While “The exposure of the largest banks is quite low,… there may be smaller banks that are stressed by these developments” Read more →

Stocks May Have Rebounded But Headwinds Remain Ahead

BY TEMATICA
Putting it all together, while the stock market rallied off from oversold levels yesterday, there are still multiple headwinds that could restrain its performance in the coming weeks and months. Read more →
Back to all posts →