C8 GBI Good Governance January 2022 Monthly Report – Cirdan Capital

The ‘Good Governance’ certificate performed badly in January, particularly in the last week of the month, giving back December’s outsize gains, to end 6.6% lower on the month. There was no overriding theme, with the broad sector sell-off in US stocks, on rising expectations of US rate rises, also reflected in the ‘Good Governance’ portfolio.

One positive attribute of the ‘Good Governance’ investment approach is that it tends to outperform in market dislocations (e.g. 2020 Covid sell-off) on a flight to quality but, in this case, our Good Governance portfolio underperformed the equity sell-off. Looking back over the full performance history since 2007, both in and out of sample, there is only one equivalent episode, in Dec 2010 – Jan 2011, when there was a drop of 12.2%. We note, in this period, that these losses proved only temporary and were fully recovered within 4 months. Indeed, in the current drawdown, the certificate has already recovered 1½% in the first few days of February.

Other posts

NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy September 2023 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
The NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy, Positioning Update Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin: AI Investing with Brain

BY JON WEBB
The C8 Weekly Bulletin returns after an Easter break with the announcement that Brain, an AI-driven research provider, has now joined the C8 platform. Brain has developed NODES; an integrated Artificial Intelligence Engine that combines Artificial Intelligence algorithms with proprietary Natural Language Processing techniques to process a large volume of external information. Read more →

Thoughts From the Divide: Avoiding the Inverse

BY JON WEBB
Along with the release of the January Fed minutes this week, there was a deluge of Fed Speak, with Jefferson, Harker, Waller, and Cook all opining on the outlook for cuts. Most of the refrain was along the lines of Powell’s need for “confidence”, with Waller saying that he needed “to see at least another couple more months of inflation data” and Cook echoing the idea, saying that “as we gain greater confidence that disinflation is ongoing and sustainable, that changing outlook will warrant a change in the policy rate”. Harker pushed back on immediate cuts, asking for markets to “just give us a couple of meetings”, following up by saying, “I would caution anyone from looking for it right now and right away”. But while there may be some pushback on timing, that cuts are coming appears to be very much fait accompli in the mind of the Fed. Read more →
Back to all posts →