C8/Green Blue ‘Good Governance’ Certificate – October 2020

The Certificate had a strong start to the month but pre-US election stock market jitters lead to these gains being given back as October progressed. As a result, the certificate ended unchanged on the month. With the HFRX Equity Index down ½% on the month, the Certificate has now outperformed this HF index by almost 10% this year.
BY JON WEBB

C8/Green Blue ‘Good Governance’ Certificate – October 2020

C8 GBI April 2020 Monthly Report – Cirdan Capital

Other posts

C8 Currency Compass – The end of the implied USD equity hedge? – May 2025

BY JON WEBB
European investors now own 15% of US stocks, whilst they have reduced EURUSD and GBPUSD hedges over the past 4 years, as any risk aversion from lower US equities has driven EURUSD lower - being underhedged counterbalances US equity returns. However, this did not work last Summer and the USD has been notably weak during the recent equity sell-off (see full discussion overleaf). With this correlation reversed, we note that European investors now find themselves underhedged their US equity exposure. It has been a volatile month for FX however the USD held key levels and recovered from the lows as US trade policy has become more measured.  The longer-term risks remain for USD, as the Administration attempts to rebalance the US economy, whilst positioning is structurally long USD. Read more →

MI2 Partners: Thoughts From The Divide: Move Fast and Break Things

BY JON WEBB
We suspect many of our readers may have a passing familiarity with the work of Olivia Rodrigo. That’s not because we are popular with her fan base, but rather because we suspect many of our readers may live in close proximity to teenage girls. That’s certainly the case for TFTD, and yours truly was struck by how well the talented Ms. Rodrigo seemed to understand the problems of both pubescent girls dealing with first love, and senior WH officials as they deal with the collateral damage associated with their policies. Read more →

MI2 Partners Thoughts From The Divide: All Time High

BY JON WEBB
All-time highs are often telling macro signals. Is it possible there might be a connection between the recent ATHs in Bitcoin and long JGBs? Some reports pointed to the US credit downgrade and Trump’s tax bill igniting fiscal worries. First of all, no macro trader ever sold a bond because of a credit downgrade and second, given S&P and Fitch had downgraded long before, it’s very hard to think of it as a surprise. Read more →
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