The Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy entered this month recommending a 50% cash allocation. The NDR Catastrophic Stop model is based on the combination of two proprietary composites: 1) the Internal Composite (technical and price-related indicators) and 2) the External Composite (fundamental, economic, interest rate, and behavioral/sentiment indicators). Each composite is one-half of the overall score.

This month’s allocation to U.S. equities is overweight Energy, Consumer Discretionary,  Consumer Staples, and Information Technology. The model is underweight Materials, Industrials, Financials, and Communication Services. The sector allocations are determined using NDR’s Sector Model, where each sector has sector-specific, weight-of-the-evidence composites of fundamental, economic, technical, and behavioral indicators to determine the sector’s probability of outperforming the S&P 500.

Click the link below to read more about the strategy’s positioning.

Full strategy commentary: NDRSASDH202208041

Visit the Day Hagan research page for access to additional commentary and webcasts.

Other posts

Thoughts From The Divide: Reversals of Fortune

BY JON WEBB
Last week’s TFTD (“Not Too Hot, Not Too Cold”) referenced Goldilocks to illustrate the tightrope US markets were walking: an economy slow enough to keep bond bulls happy, but not so slow as might spook equity bulls. This week, we continue the bear theme, courtesy of Ernie Tedeschi, and what might be taken as a public service announcement from the BLS, reminding both policymakers and the investing public of the dangers associated with “rear-view mirror driving”. The BLS benchmark revision is usually too wonky to attract press attention. But this is an election year, so naturally the BLS misplacing 818k jobs was an irresistible opportunity for conspiracy theorizing on the platform formerly called “Twitter”. Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin – “Hope” is not an investment strategy

BY ROBERT MINIKIN
Given so much investor focus on macro-drivers, we are pleased that IVI Capital, the global macro hedge fund, have provided us with a new update on their market outlook. The IVI Capital Global Macro Index is a daily, futures-only strategy and C8 Studio shows the index up 24.0% so far this year.  Read more →

Day Hagan/NDR Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy January 2024 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy, model and allocations update. Read more →
Back to all posts →