Full Report:

JPO Cross Asset Portfolio Monthly Report – October 2021

The portfolio performed well and delivered +9.5% return in October, bringing a
YTD return of +22.9%. The performance resulted from 50% equity exposure
together with 25% exposure to both real estate and commodities. The allocation
was fully leveraged (1.3x), as in September. There was no participation in Fixed
Income and the further flattening of the Treasury Yield curve.

Within equities, the selected S&P500 Health Care and Information Technology
sectors delivered 1.7% and 2.7%, respectively. The Real Estate index recovered
from its consolidation in September and contributed 2.3% to portfolio
performance, while achieving an all-time high around the month end. The US Oil
index continued its rally from September and attributed 2.8% to portfolio
performance.

Commodity exposure was solely to US Oil, with no allocation into Gold which
partly recovered from its decline in prior months. The rally in equity markets
came as investors shook off a number of concerns that had dogged Wall Street in
the prior month, when worries that high inflation, slowing growth and supply
chain logjams would lead to economic stresses for American companies and
consumers.

The index clearly outperformed all benchmarks. In particular the equally weighted
strategy constituent universe, which delivered +5.5%. The S&P500 (TR) delivered
+7.0%, while the less volatile HFRX Macro/CTA index gained +1.1%.

Other posts

USDJPY and Gamma Trading (29th July 2024)

BY JON WEBB
In our piece in February (Turning Japanese, Feb 2024) we discussed how carry trades in currencies have a predisposition to trade an “escalator / liftshaft” pattern. The Japanese Yen, as the principal funding currency, is particularly vulnerable to violent reversals to what has been a remarkably steady and successful carry trade. In the last couple of weeks, as analysts started to consider the possibility of a BoJ rate hike at their meeting on 31st July, JPY crosses exhibited a bout of significant strength. USDJPY fell around 10 big figures from ~162 to 152. Is that enough to have cleared the decks? Simply put, it is not possible to clear out two years of accumulated positions in a couple of weeks. The fact that CFTC commitment of trader positioning was showing JPY shorts at their most extended since 2007 (pre GFC) before last week’s sharpish position reduction, suggests this is merely a shot across the bows, so far. Japanese retail traders (Mrs Watanabe) have slowed accumulation to a stand still but wholesale flight is far from evident. Read more →

Why a Cautious Market Will Eye Key S&P 500 Support Levels

BY TEMATICA
And Nvidia will need to deliver a big beat and raise report on Wednesday Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin: The ExtractAlpha advantage

BY ROBERT MINIKIN
This week’s Bulletin is guest edited by one of C8's index contributors – ExtractAlpha. Their Smart Earnings Index leverages their proprietary US earnings and revenue forecasts - which both consistently outperform the Wall Street consensus. The Index is a highly liquid strategy favouring large cap stocks and has delivered an annual return roughly 40% higher than that of the S&P500 over the past decade - and with similar volatility. Read more →
Back to all posts →