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USDJPY: Update and Strategy Observation

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As USDJPY probes back towards the lows of its “liftshaft” experience in early August, longer dated implied volatility is on the rise and skew favours puts over calls even more than before. Read more →

NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy August 2023 Update

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Thoughts From The Divide: Danger to Itself

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In an op-ed for MSNBC, the “former Federal Reserve economist” warned against the Fed keeping “interest rates too high for too long”, which would cause it to “fail at its job” and snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Sahm argues that the economy is “on course” for a soft landing, but “Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell is not flying the plane, despite the popular narrative” (which is a far kinder metaphor than Jay being a toddler in the back seat with a toy steering wheel). Sahm suggests that “giving the Fed credit means we could learn the wrong lesson”. Read more →
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