The Dynamic Allocation Strategy’s equity allocation remains below 60%.

Three of the six top-level indicators in the model (relative strength, PMI breadth, and central banks) favor equities over fixed income.

U.S. Large-Caps, U.S. Value, and Cash received the largest weightings. Click the link below to read more about the strategy’s positioning.

Full strategy commentary: NDRDAS202202021

Other posts

Thoughts From The Divide: Little Tweaks and Adjustments

BY JON WEBB
“I actually think we’re going to see inflation be choppy, and I expect that we’ll see employment stay robust.” As we noted back in May, “one swallow does not make spring”. But if we are to follow the advice of Keynes/Samuelson, when information changes, we should adjust our conclusions. Blast! The trick is, of course, balancing the two ideas to adjust conclusions when the evidence suggests such an adjustment is appropriate: you might call it Bayesian inference. The above quote from Bostic illustrates the problem, with the Atlanta Fed head implicitly stating that he will be ignoring any hot inflation prints. Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin:  Backing Value over Defensive – NDR’s Smart Sector

BY JON WEBB
January’s 6.2% advance in the US S&P500 index was far from uniform with sector performances stretching from a 15% gain in consumer discretionary to a 2% retreat in utilities. Given the importance of sectoral positioning  - alongside overall market-directional bets - this week we give the opportunity to our index provider, Ned David Research, to outline the big calls from its 'Dan Hagen/ NDR Smart Sector with Catastrophic Stop' strategy. Read more →

Why Market Uncertainty Will Be Sticking Around

BY TEMATICA
Tariff negotiations, earnings expectations and Fed rate cut hopium Read more →
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