The Dynamic Allocation Strategy remains above benchmark allocation.

Half the six top-level indicators in the model favor equities over fixed income.

U.S. Small-Caps, non-U.S. Developed, and U.S. Value received the highest allocations. Click the link below to read more about the strategy’s positioning.

Full strategy commentary: NDRDAS202301041

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C8 Currency Compass – September 2024

BY JON WEBB
We are firmly in the 50bp rate cut camp – if  the Fed is worried about employment, they need to get ahead of the curve.  This is likely to put further pressure on the USD in the near term.  USDJPY has hit its downside target (see below) so the benefit is more likely to accrue to the EUR and GBP.  We also see the BoJ on hold this week, which adds weight to this view.  However, we note our systematic models still point to EURUSD and GBPUSD weakness over time, so any bounce may prove a good opportunity to add EUR and GBP hedges.  Read more →

C8 Currency Compass – USD Correction II – February 2025

BY JON WEBB
Our FX systems started the year with ashort USD bias (against the general consensus for a stronger USD). For the first three weeks this bias worked well as fears of blanket US tariffs did not materialize, however, in the final week of January, tariffs were announced on Mexico, Canada and China leading to some renewed USD strength. Nevertheless, so far, the measures that have been taken (with some already suspended for now) have not been as bad as feared. Looking forward to this month, we note the signals are more mixed for the USD though our hedge ratios remain negative USD for the largest currencies: EUR, GBP and JPY. Read more →

NDR Dynamic Allocation Strategy February 2024 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
Dynamic Allocation Strategy, indicators, weightings update Read more →
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