The Dynamic Allocation Strategy’s equity allocation remains above 80%.

Four of the six top-level indicators in the model (relative strength, participation, leading economic indicators, and central banks) favor equities over fixed income.

U.S. Large-Caps, U.S. Growth, and U.S. Value received the largest weightings. Click the link below to read more about the strategy’s positioning.

Full strategy commentary: NDRDAS202111011

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C8 Currency Compass – USD Correction II – February 2025

BY JON WEBB
Our FX systems started the year with ashort USD bias (against the general consensus for a stronger USD). For the first three weeks this bias worked well as fears of blanket US tariffs did not materialize, however, in the final week of January, tariffs were announced on Mexico, Canada and China leading to some renewed USD strength. Nevertheless, so far, the measures that have been taken (with some already suspended for now) have not been as bad as feared. Looking forward to this month, we note the signals are more mixed for the USD though our hedge ratios remain negative USD for the largest currencies: EUR, GBP and JPY. Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: Definitions and Animal Spirits

BY JON WEBB
We would be the first to admit a tendency towards pedantry: that we enjoy a little definitional punctiliousness. Surely, we are not alone in being amused by then-President Clinton asking, “what the meaning of ’is’ is”.  But rather than being a mark of a scholar, this kind of diving into minutiae is often as much a sign of sophistry as it is of sophistication. Case in point was the debate around the definition of “transitory”. It might seem intuitive that trees don’t grow to the sky, but Yellen and crew somehow wanted to argue that that was why they had in fact been right all along in their argument that Covid era inflation was “transitory”. Yes, Janet, you were right that, like all things, this too did pass. Read more →

Don’t Expect Market Volatility to Go Away Anytime Soon

BY TEMATICA
Why investors will be hanging on Powell's Friday comments Read more →
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