The Dynamic Allocation Strategy’s equity allocation remains above 80%.

Four of the six top-level indicators in the model (relative strength, participation, leading economic indicators, and central banks) favor equities over fixed income.

U.S. Large-Caps, U.S. Growth, and U.S. Value received the largest weightings. Click the link below to read more about the strategy’s positioning.

Full strategy commentary: NDRDAS202111011

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C8 Weekly Bulletin:  Artificial Intelligence and Direct Indexing Webcast

BY JON WEBB
C8 were delighted to contribute to the inaugural webcast of one of our index providers, Axyon.AI, to discuss the topic 'Investing with Artificial Intelligence and Direct Indexing'.  Our CEO, Mattias Eriksson, and our Head of Southern Europe, Riccardo Baroni joined Axyon CEO Danielle Grassi.  The discussion gives a great overview of the benefits and growth of Direct Indexing, C8's cutting-edge platform 'C8 Studio', and Axyon's innovative approach to creating indices using AI.   Please click on the image below to watch the webcast. Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: Relatively Speaking

BY JON WEBB
In the second half of last year, as we continued to ponder the ever-impressive strength of the US consumer, we highlighted research on the subject of “excess” saving (which still seems a misnomer), noting JPM’s analysis that saw the consumer that had exhausted the various stimmy payments. Soon after, we discussed research from the San Francisco Fed that argued “a larger fraction of aggregate savings remains in the economy than previously expected”, thanks in part to “a comprehensive data revision”. The piece concluded that those savings would last until “the first half of 2024”. Well, while tomorrow may never truly arrive if free beer is involved (a medical concept?!), the future is now, and the SF Fed has bad news: “Pandemic Savings Are Gone”. As ever with economic research, this comes with a list of caveats, the jist of which are captured in the note accompanying the Fed’s chart below, i.e. savings are gone, relatively speaking. Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: Signals vs Omens – Sept 6

BY JON WEBB
Call me superstitious, but some irrational part of me can’t help but think the disappointment surrounding the Nvidia results had wider significance. Like  Mary Poppins leaving when the wind changes, sometimes it’s something mundane which, with the benefit of hindsight, signals a shift in sentiment. It’s not that Nvidia never disappoints, but it has come to feel like that recently. And since the Nvidia results, stocks do seem to have lost their mojo, in marked contrast to bonds. Read more →
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