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Thoughts From The Divide: Adjustments

BY JON WEBB
Last week’s excitement in bond markets came courtesy of Governor Waller offering a mechanical rationale for rate cuts. Simply, “If inflation goes down, you would lower the policy rate.” This came, of course, in the context of warnings about financial conditions and other caveats, but as is so often the case, what the markets heard was “so you’re telling me there’s a chance?”. That doesn’t mean that we disagree with the market’s read of where the Fed’s head is. Fed Governors don’t make too many boo-boos with their messaging, and when they do, it’s often an error of timing rather than content. The market has now priced cuts down to “around 4% by the end of 2024” and while that seems perhaps overdoing the enthusiasm a tad, we suspect that the market has gotten the gist about right.  Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: The Little Things

BY JON WEBB
Following the warnings from Walmart’s earnings last week, Target announced earnings this week and saw its stock walloped. As the CEO noted, “The ‘biggest challenges’ Target is hearing from its shoppers are ‘inflation in food and household essentials’”, further adding that “inflation is putting a ‘strain on the consumer wallet.’” Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin:  Direct Indexing and Capturing EM Trends with EVOLIDS

BY JON WEBB
One of our index providers, EVOLIDS, has produced a great piece on the advantages of Direct Indexing. Over the past year there has been increasing focus on opportunities in Emerging Market equities on the back of higher commodity prices, and inflation in developed markets.  Access the EVOLIDS Global Emerging Markets Long/Short Index on C8 Studio to take advantage of this renewed volatility. Read more →
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