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Thoughts From the Divide:  The First Cut

In love, the first cut may be the deepest (as per Rod Stewart, Sheryl Crow, and others). But for the Fed’s Waller, the first cut is to be done “methodically and carefully”. Tacky musical references aside, the Fed Governor explained in his speech earlier this week that “the data we have received the last few months is allowing the Committee to consider cutting the policy rate in 2024”. With inflation seemingly on the right path for reaching the FOMC’s “price-stability goal”, Waller was yet another confirmation of the adjustment cut thesis, explaining in his conclusion, “The healthy state of the economy provides the flexibility to lower the (nominal) policy rate to keep the real policy rate at an appropriate level of tightness.” Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin: Trend Following

Central banks have had to act aggressively to contain inflation expectations - leading to an unwinding of excess global liquidity and divergent responses across asset classes.  A return to "normal" financial markets, with less policy support for asset prices and higher market volatility.  In this context, there is also new investor interest in trend-following strategies that exploit diverging market dynamics. C8 Studio contains both high quality trend-following indices and innovative combination technology. Read more →

NDR Dynamic Allocation Strategy April 2023 Update

Dynamic Allocation Strategy, indicators, weightings update Read more →
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