Based on the June model update, the Day Hagan/Ned Davis Research Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop strategy remains fully invested. The NDR Catastrophic Stop model is based on the combination of two proprietary composites: 1) the Internal Composite (technical and price-related indicators) and 2) the External Composite (fundamental, economic, interest rate, and behavioral/sentiment indicators). Each composite is one-half of the overall score.

This month’s allocation to U.S. equities is overweight Energy and Materials and underweight Consumer Discretionary. The sector allocations are determined using NDR’s Sector Model, where each sector has sector-specific, weight-of-the-evidence composites of fundamental, economic, technical, and behavioral indicators to determine the sector’s probability of outperforming the S&P 500.

Click the link below to read more about the strategy’s positioning.

Full strategy commentary: NDRSASDH202106031

Visit the Day Hagan research page for access to additional commentary and webcasts.

Other posts

Thoughts From The Divide: Downpayments on a Dream

BY JON WEBB
Buddhist teaching holds that all things are in a constant state of flux, implying that we should be prepared to let go of even our most cherished hopes. The John Burns affordability index seems to confirm this, suggesting that, at least for the time being, the American dream of home ownership is out of reach for new buyers. John Burns’ index includes the costs of a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, amortization, insurance, and property taxes (naturally, it’s in the small print). Read more →

November 11, 2024 – The Week Ahead

BY TEMATICA
In the edition of The Week Ahead, Chris Versace discusses the… Read more →

Thoughts From the Divide: Avoiding the Inverse

BY JON WEBB
Along with the release of the January Fed minutes this week, there was a deluge of Fed Speak, with Jefferson, Harker, Waller, and Cook all opining on the outlook for cuts. Most of the refrain was along the lines of Powell’s need for “confidence”, with Waller saying that he needed “to see at least another couple more months of inflation data” and Cook echoing the idea, saying that “as we gain greater confidence that disinflation is ongoing and sustainable, that changing outlook will warrant a change in the policy rate”. Harker pushed back on immediate cuts, asking for markets to “just give us a couple of meetings”, following up by saying, “I would caution anyone from looking for it right now and right away”. But while there may be some pushback on timing, that cuts are coming appears to be very much fait accompli in the mind of the Fed. Read more →
Back to all posts →