In this edition of The Week Ahead we recap why the stock market sold off last week and the factors investors should focus on this week. Renewed inflation concerns and a robust December jobs print pushed out Fed rate cut expectations, putting the near-term focus on these two events. We also layout what to expect when big banks report and why the December Retail Sales report will be important for retailers.


Recent Thematic Signals


The Strategies Behind Our Thematic Models

  • Aging of the Population – Capturing the demographic wave of the aging population and the changing demands it brings with it.
  • Artificial Intelligence – Software, chips, and related companies that facilitate the collection and analysis of large data sets and autonomous generation of solutions given non-machine language prompts.
  • CHIPs Act – Capturing the reshoring of the US semiconductor industry and the $52.7 billion poised to be spent on semiconductor manufacturing.
  • Cloud Computing – Companies that provide hardware and services that enhance the cloud computing experience for users, such as co-location, security, and edge computing.
  • Consumer Inflation Fighters – Companies poised to benefit as consumers stretch the disposable spending dollars they do have.
  • Core Holdings – Companies that reflect economic activity and are large enough to not get pushed around by day-to-day market trends. Low-beta, large-cap names able to better withstand economic turmoil.
  • Cybersecurity – Companies that focus on protecting against the penetration of digital networks and the theft, ransom, corruption or destruction of data.
  • Digital Infrastructure & Connectivity –The buildout and upgrading of our Networks, Data Storage Facilities, and Equipment.
  • Digital Lifestyle – The companies behind our increasingly connected lives.
  • Data Privacy & Digital Identity – Companies providing the tools and services that verify authorized users and safeguard personal data privacy.
  • EPS Diplomats – Profitable large capitalization companies proven to produce above-average EPS growth and provide investors with the benefit of multiple expansion.
  • EV Transition – Capturing the transition to EVs and related infrastructure from combustion engine vehicles.
  • Guilty Pleasure – Companies that produce/provide food and drink products that consumers tend to enjoy regardless of the economic environment and potential long-term health hazards associated with excessive consumption.
  • Homebuilding & Materials – Ranging from homebuilders to key building product companies that serve the housing market, this model looks to capture the rising demand for housing, one that should benefit as the Fed returns monetary policy to more normalized levels.
  • Luxury Buying Boom – Tapping into aspirational buying and affluent buyers amid rising global wealth.
  • Market Hedge Model –  This basket of daily reset swap-based broad market inverse ETFs protects in the face of market pullbacks, overbought market technicals, and other drivers of market volatility.
  • Nuclear Energy & Uranium – Companies that either build and maintain nuclear power plants or are involved in the production of uranium.
  • Precision Ag & Agri Science – Companies that look to address shrinking arable land by helping maximize crop yields utilizing technology, science, or both.
  • Rebuilding America – Turning the focused spending on rebuilding US infrastructure into revenue and profits.
  • Safety & Security – Targeted exposure to companies that provide goods and services primarily to the Defense and security sectors of the economy.
  • Space Economy – Companies that focus on the launch and operation of satellite networks.

The Strategies Behind Our Dividend Income Models

  • Monthly Dividend Model – Pretty much what the name says – this model invests in companies that pay monthly dividends to shareholders.
  • ETF Dividend Model – High-yielding ETFs that provide a range of exposures from domestic equities, international equities, emerging market equities, MLPS, and REITs.
  • ETF Enhanced Dividend Model – A group of high-yielding ETFs that utilize options to enhance yield through collecting option income.

Don’t be a stranger

Thanks for reading and if you have a suggestion for an article or book we should read, or a stream we should catch, email us at info@tematicaresearch.com. The same email works if you want to know more about our thematic and targeted exposure models listed above.

Other posts

Thoughts From The Divide: The Door is Wide Open

BY JON WEBB
Last week, we flagged Bill Dudley’s abrupt change of mind: he now advocates immediate rate cuts. One might be forgiven for suspecting Bill had spent the week lobbying his old colleagues because the July 31st FOMC statement, and J Powell’s subsequent presser gave rates markets quite the boost. Of course, there were the usual Powell caveats: “If we were to see, for example, inflation moving down quickly - or more or less in line with expectations - growth remains reasonably strong, and the labor market remains consistent with its current condition, then I would think that a rate cut could be on the table at the September meeting”. But judging from SOFR pricing, the market took Powell’s caveats as mere teasing. Powell’s presser comments suggested maybe 50bps of cuts by year-end, but Dec 25 SOFR pricing suggests at least 75bps. Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin:  Trendrating on US Bank Stocks

BY JON WEBB
C8 Technologies are delighted to announce that Trendrating will be adding 7 US and European equity indices to C8 Studio. They have been working with investors over the past 10 years to enhance equity portfolios, using a proprietary methodology which focuses on determining the ongoing trend in individual equities. Trendrating have just produced a timely report on US bank stocks which they have kindly allowed C8 to share. This illustrates that, whilst the Silicon Valley Bank failure had idiosyncratic issues, investors perceive a much wider problem with smaller US banks.  Read more →

December 7: This Week’s Thematic Reads

BY TEMATICA
If you missed out on this week's signals, we've got you covered Read more →
Back to all posts →