MI2: Forecasting A Seismic Move in Markets and the Global Economy

At the start of the year, we watched with growing concern as U.S. markets soared to extremes, seemingly indifferent to economic and geopolitical realities.  The rally wasn’t driven by fundamentals but by an endless stream of hyperbolic adjectives and increasingly outlandish claims of quick fortunes to be made.
BY JON WEBB

At the start of the year, we watched with growing concern as U.S. markets soared to extremes, seemingly indifferent to economic and geopolitical realities.  The rally wasn’t driven by fundamentals but by an endless stream of hyperbolic adjectives and increasingly outlandish claims of quick fortunes to be made.

Now, as volatility defines markets, macro moves take the reins. MI2 Partners is the voice of reason in uncertain markets with 200 years of collective experience in advising and managing money. Markets and the global economy stand on the cusp of the most significant structural shift in a generation. This transformation is so profound that most  investors, regardless of experience, are scrambling to make sense of it.  Successfully navigating the current world order requires a complete reset in how you think about investing. Let our experience and market insights guide you.

 Our latest interviews, going viral as we write:

 

If you want some truly considered guidance on managing and trading your money, not just a string of exaggerated claims, get started with the links below.

Institutional Investors can sign up for a free six week trial of our Institutional Offer here.*

And new, for Individual Investors, MacroCapture by MI2, combining MI2’s best-in-class macro insights with actionable guidance specifically tailored for individual investors all for $499 per quarter or $1599 per annum.  You can sign up here.   

Want more before you purchase? We invite you to explore our recent  MacroCapture Research Dossier: Reality Bites. The link provides a preview of key insights, with the full analysis available exclusively to subscribers.

*Free Trial is available to Institutional Investors who have not had a previous free trial in the last 4 years. 

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C8 Currency Compass – September 2024

BY JON WEBB
We are firmly in the 50bp rate cut camp – if  the Fed is worried about employment, they need to get ahead of the curve.  This is likely to put further pressure on the USD in the near term.  USDJPY has hit its downside target (see below) so the benefit is more likely to accrue to the EUR and GBP.  We also see the BoJ on hold this week, which adds weight to this view.  However, we note our systematic models still point to EURUSD and GBPUSD weakness over time, so any bounce may prove a good opportunity to add EUR and GBP hedges.  Read more →

MI2 Partners Thoughts From The Divide: Know when to Fold‘Em

BY JON WEBB
President Trump told us that the U.S. would get "a total of 55% tariffs" with China's tariffs set at 10%, adding that "Full magnets and any necessary rare earths, will be supplied, up front, by China. Likewise, we will provide to China what was agreed to”. A Chinese spokesman was more reserved. Lutnick referred to the agreement as a "handshake for a framework" which didn’t seem entirely consistent with Trump’s assessment. Usually, in these matters the best way of telling what happened is to look at the US-listed Rare Earth miners – MP Materials fell 8% yesterday, but was up 14% today, which might suggests that the market the market remains skeptical about China resuming rare earth supplies. Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: Downpayments on a Dream

BY JON WEBB
Buddhist teaching holds that all things are in a constant state of flux, implying that we should be prepared to let go of even our most cherished hopes. The John Burns affordability index seems to confirm this, suggesting that, at least for the time being, the American dream of home ownership is out of reach for new buyers. John Burns’ index includes the costs of a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, amortization, insurance, and property taxes (naturally, it’s in the small print). Read more →
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