At the start of the year, we watched with growing concern as U.S. markets soared to extremes, seemingly indifferent to economic and geopolitical realities.  The rally wasn’t driven by fundamentals but by an endless stream of hyperbolic adjectives and increasingly outlandish claims of quick fortunes to be made.

Now, as volatility defines markets, macro moves take the reins. MI2 Partnersis the voice of reason in uncertain markets with 200 years of collective experience in advising and managing money. Markets and the global economy stand on the cusp of the most significant structural shift in a generation. This transformation is so profound that most  investors, regardless of experience, are scrambling to make sense of it.  Successfully navigating the current world order requires a complete reset in how you think about investing. Let our experience and market insights guide you.

 Our latest interviews, going viral as we write:

 

If you want some truly considered guidance on managing and trading your money, not just a string of exaggerated claims, get started with the links below.

Institutional Investors can sign up for a free six week trial of our Institutional Offer here.*

And new, for Individual Investors, MacroCapture by MI2, combining MI2’s best-in-class macro insights with actionable guidance specifically tailored for individual investors all for $499 per quarter or $1599 per annum.  You can sign up here.   

Want more before you purchase? We invite you to explore our recent  MacroCapture Research Dossier:Reality Bites. The link provides a preview of key insights, with the full analysis available exclusively to subscribers.

*Free Trial is available to Institutional Investors who have not had a previous free trial in the last 4 years. 

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Thoughts From The Divide: Breaking up is hard to do

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Friday is a Non-Farm Payroll day, and the early indications have pointed to a softer report. Private sector hiring, as reported by ADP, rose by just 37,000 in May, the lowest in more than two years. The weekly claims data added to the impression of softness in employment, hitting a seven-month high. While 247,000 claims are hardly a collapse, it might indicate less “fat” in the labour market, meaning that the Labour market doesn't have the momentum it had in '22. Read more →

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While the road to hell is paved with good intentions, it appears that the “golden path” to a soft landing (which by way of reminder is a “triumph of hope over experience”, if you ask Mr. Summers) is paved with rate cuts. In an interview earlier this week, the Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee cast another vote in favor of “adjustment cuts”, saying that “You risk the golden path if you are going to be as restrictive as we are now”. Meanwhile, Jerome Powell was quick to assure the audience during his latest interview that “today I am not going to be sending any signals, one way or the other on any particular meeting” as far as rate cuts are concerned. However, that did not prevent the Chair from referring to ol’ reliable of monetary policy, “long and variable lags”, to explain why, “if you wait until inflation gets all the way down to 2%, you’ve probably waited too long”. Read more →

Day Hagan/NDR Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy December 2024 Update

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The sector model maintained mixed leadership this month. Entering December, Consumer Discretionary, Financials, and Utilities are above benchmark weight. Communication Services improved to marketweight. Information Technology, Real Estate, Industrials, Materials, Energy, Consumer Staples, and Health Care are below benchmark weight. Read more →
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