MI2: Forecasting A Seismic Move in Markets and the Global Economy

At the start of the year, we watched with growing concern as U.S. markets soared to extremes, seemingly indifferent to economic and geopolitical realities.  The rally wasn’t driven by fundamentals but by an endless stream of hyperbolic adjectives and increasingly outlandish claims of quick fortunes to be made.
BY JON WEBB

At the start of the year, we watched with growing concern as U.S. markets soared to extremes, seemingly indifferent to economic and geopolitical realities.  The rally wasn’t driven by fundamentals but by an endless stream of hyperbolic adjectives and increasingly outlandish claims of quick fortunes to be made.

Now, as volatility defines markets, macro moves take the reins. MI2 Partners is the voice of reason in uncertain markets with 200 years of collective experience in advising and managing money. Markets and the global economy stand on the cusp of the most significant structural shift in a generation. This transformation is so profound that most  investors, regardless of experience, are scrambling to make sense of it.  Successfully navigating the current world order requires a complete reset in how you think about investing. Let our experience and market insights guide you.

 Our latest interviews, going viral as we write:

 

If you want some truly considered guidance on managing and trading your money, not just a string of exaggerated claims, get started with the links below.

Institutional Investors can sign up for a free six week trial of our Institutional Offer here.*

And new, for Individual Investors, MacroCapture by MI2, combining MI2’s best-in-class macro insights with actionable guidance specifically tailored for individual investors all for $499 per quarter or $1599 per annum.  You can sign up here.   

Want more before you purchase? We invite you to explore our recent  MacroCapture Research Dossier: Reality Bites. The link provides a preview of key insights, with the full analysis available exclusively to subscribers.

*Free Trial is available to Institutional Investors who have not had a previous free trial in the last 4 years. 

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Thoughts From The Divide: Adjustments

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Last week’s excitement in bond markets came courtesy of Governor Waller offering a mechanical rationale for rate cuts. Simply, “If inflation goes down, you would lower the policy rate.” This came, of course, in the context of warnings about financial conditions and other caveats, but as is so often the case, what the markets heard was “so you’re telling me there’s a chance?”. That doesn’t mean that we disagree with the market’s read of where the Fed’s head is. Fed Governors don’t make too many boo-boos with their messaging, and when they do, it’s often an error of timing rather than content. The market has now priced cuts down to “around 4% by the end of 2024” and while that seems perhaps overdoing the enthusiasm a tad, we suspect that the market has gotten the gist about right.  Read more →

MI2 Partners Thoughts From The Divide: Breaking up is hard to do

BY JON WEBB
Friday is a Non-Farm Payroll day, and the early indications have pointed to a softer report. Private sector hiring, as reported by ADP, rose by just 37,000 in May, the lowest in more than two years. The weekly claims data added to the impression of softness in employment, hitting a seven-month high. While 247,000 claims are hardly a collapse, it might indicate less “fat” in the labour market, meaning that the Labour market doesn't have the momentum it had in '22. Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin: Return to Income

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Whilst the New Year's recovery in stock markets has grabbed much of the headlines, we also note that last year's fixed income sell-off has created opportunities in income products.  This week we illustrate this using C8 Studio, with income-generating indices from Vettafi. Read more →
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