Entering January, the fixed income allocation strategy continued to favor risk-on leadership and didn’t rebalance. The model remains overweight Emerging Market bonds, U.S. High Yield, U.S. Investment Grade Corporate, and U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities. The model remains underweight U.S. Floating Rate Notes, U.S. Long-Term Treasurys, U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, and International Investment Grade.

Click the link below to read more about the strategy’s positioning.

Full strategy commentary: NDRFIAS202401041

Other posts

Thoughts From the Divide:  Subjest to Change

BY JON WEBB
As the saying goes, “needs must when the devil drives”. We have no problem understanding the Fed’s decision to announce (at 7pm last night) that the details of the BTFP program needed to be altered. The problem was the overly juicy arbitrage, whereby banks could use the BTFP window to flip cash from the Fed into the RRP and pocket the not-insubstantial difference. We were impressed by the chutzpah involved in arbitraging two Fed facilities! Read more →

C8 Currency Compass – September 2024

BY JON WEBB
We are firmly in the 50bp rate cut camp – if  the Fed is worried about employment, they need to get ahead of the curve.  This is likely to put further pressure on the USD in the near term.  USDJPY has hit its downside target (see below) so the benefit is more likely to accrue to the EUR and GBP.  We also see the BoJ on hold this week, which adds weight to this view.  However, we note our systematic models still point to EURUSD and GBPUSD weakness over time, so any bounce may prove a good opportunity to add EUR and GBP hedges.  Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin: Central banks meet amid forecast failures

BY ROBERT MINIKIN
Welcome to our first issue of the C8 Weekly Bulletin. With many years of market experience, we at C8 see real benefits from having a concise overview of key economic and policy developments, whatever the specific investment approach. We are happy to share this overview with our clients and partners, and, where appropriate, highlight indices on C8 Studio which resonate with the current market environment. Read more →
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