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C8 Weekly Bulletin:  Trendrating on US Bank Stocks

BY JON WEBB
C8 Technologies are delighted to announce that Trendrating will be adding 7 US and European equity indices to C8 Studio. They have been working with investors over the past 10 years to enhance equity portfolios, using a proprietary methodology which focuses on determining the ongoing trend in individual equities. Trendrating have just produced a timely report on US bank stocks which they have kindly allowed C8 to share. This illustrates that, whilst the Silicon Valley Bank failure had idiosyncratic issues, investors perceive a much wider problem with smaller US banks.  Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: Particularly Fluid

BY JON WEBB
Now a week out from the Fed making it clear that the squeeze of lower growth isn’t worth the juice of bringing inflation back to (not toward, Jerry!) 2%, Mohamed El-Erian summed up the state of play nicely in a recent article for the FT. The Queens’ College president noted that, “It is not often that you see a reputable central bank revise up its inflation and growth projections and yet strengthen a dovish tilt to its policy stance. Yet that is what happened in Washington last week when the Federal Reserve raised those projections up a notch and yet delivered two consequential signals – a willingness to tolerate higher inflation for longer and an openness to slow the ongoing reduction in its balance sheet.” Read more →

C8 Currency Compass – USD Correction II – February 2025

BY JON WEBB
Our FX systems started the year with ashort USD bias (against the general consensus for a stronger USD). For the first three weeks this bias worked well as fears of blanket US tariffs did not materialize, however, in the final week of January, tariffs were announced on Mexico, Canada and China leading to some renewed USD strength. Nevertheless, so far, the measures that have been taken (with some already suspended for now) have not been as bad as feared. Looking forward to this month, we note the signals are more mixed for the USD though our hedge ratios remain negative USD for the largest currencies: EUR, GBP and JPY. Read more →
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