A lot now depends on whether the markets are right about nCoV or not. A meaningful deterioration of the situation could bring a VaR shock for stocks while a quick recovery could challenge the bond markets.
BY ERIC FILL
This week we look at global growth prospects and how meaningful the disconnect between the financial and real economy has become.
While we may have missed getting out our Thoughts From The Divide year-in-review piece before the new year (mea maxima culpa), we did manage to spend some time going through our “best of” and “greatest hits” in anticipation of the changing of the calendar. As usual, there were some repeated themes and tropes, but at the highest level, what struck us was that last year seemed very much governed by the timeless question from the underrated philosopher of science, Whitney Houston: “How will I know?” (closely followed by her observation that “crack is whack”)
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November 18: The Week Ahead
BY TEMATICA
In this edition of The Week Ahead, Tematica’s Mark Abssy discusses what happens when the “Trump Bump” meets up against a hawkish Fed. Also, how proposed cabinet posts and overall Trump administration expectations are shaping not just government but also markets, including crypto.
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Thoughts From The Divide: The Undead
BY JON WEBB
“Why is it people got so incensed about the reason why inflation might be happening?” Happy Halloween! Tis the season for ghouls, gremlins and zombies, so perhaps we should not be so surprised that even President Biden has gained a taste for flesh! (Though it’s not the first time?) We kid of course, but one might be forgiven for suspecting “Irish Alzheimer’s”, given the latest “garbage” gaffe/misstep. Of course, Trump is not one to miss an opportunity. This comes at an inopportune time as the election heats up with various election-related stories battling for headlines. Voter fraud! Early voting shenanigans! Election market manipulation! Some might joke that POTUS himself would be hard to pick out among the ranks of the undead (we would never stoop so low …), but the more intriguing zombie speculation is the election. It wouldn’t be the first time the lawyers have found ways to keep the monster alive. This got us thinking about the economic issues which just refuse to give up the ghost and have yet to be settled: “undead” topics that just won’t die!
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