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Thoughts From The Divide: Danger to Itself

BY JON WEBB
In an op-ed for MSNBC, the “former Federal Reserve economist” warned against the Fed keeping “interest rates too high for too long”, which would cause it to “fail at its job” and snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Sahm argues that the economy is “on course” for a soft landing, but “Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell is not flying the plane, despite the popular narrative” (which is a far kinder metaphor than Jay being a toddler in the back seat with a toy steering wheel). Sahm suggests that “giving the Fed credit means we could learn the wrong lesson”. Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin: Central banks meet amid forecast failures

BY ROBERT MINIKIN
Welcome to our first issue of the C8 Weekly Bulletin. With many years of market experience, we at C8 see real benefits from having a concise overview of key economic and policy developments, whatever the specific investment approach. We are happy to share this overview with our clients and partners, and, where appropriate, highlight indices on C8 Studio which resonate with the current market environment. Read more →

C8 Weekly Bulletin: The ExtractAlpha advantage

BY ROBERT MINIKIN
This week’s Bulletin is guest edited by one of C8's index contributors – ExtractAlpha. Their Smart Earnings Index leverages their proprietary US earnings and revenue forecasts - which both consistently outperform the Wall Street consensus. The Index is a highly liquid strategy favouring large cap stocks and has delivered an annual return roughly 40% higher than that of the S&P500 over the past decade - and with similar volatility. Read more →
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