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Thoughts From The Divide: Particularly Fluid

BY JON WEBB
Now a week out from the Fed making it clear that the squeeze of lower growth isn’t worth the juice of bringing inflation back to (not toward, Jerry!) 2%, Mohamed El-Erian summed up the state of play nicely in a recent article for the FT. The Queens’ College president noted that, “It is not often that you see a reputable central bank revise up its inflation and growth projections and yet strengthen a dovish tilt to its policy stance. Yet that is what happened in Washington last week when the Federal Reserve raised those projections up a notch and yet delivered two consequential signals – a willingness to tolerate higher inflation for longer and an openness to slow the ongoing reduction in its balance sheet.” Read more →

Day Hagan/NDR Smart Sector® with Catastrophic Stop Strategy December 2024 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
The sector model maintained mixed leadership this month. Entering December, Consumer Discretionary, Financials, and Utilities are above benchmark weight. Communication Services improved to marketweight. Information Technology, Real Estate, Industrials, Materials, Energy, Consumer Staples, and Health Care are below benchmark weight. Read more →

Tariff Turmoil, OPEC+ Output Hike & Fed Meeting Ahead

BY TEMATICA
The market expects no move from the Fed but what about the White House? Read more →
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