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NDR Dynamic Allocation Strategy January 2024 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
Dynamic Allocation Strategy, indicators, weightings update Read more →

USD Pivot Lower in 2024 – MI2 for C8

BY JON WEBB
MI2 currently has a bias for cyclical USD weakness as we progress into 2024, but this weakness could easily morph into an environment of secular USD decline. The early signs of USD weakness are falling into place, and with the current complacent consensus of stable FX relationships within the G4, the risk is building for a decisive break from the prevailing regime. Below, we segment our analysis to line up our skittles for a consensus-busting weak USD impulse. Read more →

MI2 for C8 – The FX Year Ahead – Turning Japanese – Feb 2024

BY JON WEBB
Japan is likely to come into increasing focus this year. With bond yields now being allowed to rise as the BoJ’s Yield Curve Control experiment comes to an end, the BoJ’s roadmap to ending NIRP (if things go to plan), the multi-decade underperformance of Japanese equities still fresh in asset allocators’ minds (despite some promising upside momentum) and a chronically weak currency, (especially on a real effective, inflation-adjusted trade-weighted basis), there is plenty of potential for disruption. Read more →
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