Equities are clearly happy, a Maybe the idea isnd some commentators tell us it’s because a tariff apocalypse has been averted. In the game of chicken that markets had been following with ill-concealed horror, perhaps the real winner was common sense, although equity investors are a close second. that the macro impact of tariffs will be so insignificant that we will hardly notice the effects on either inflation or growth. In which case, equities are a steal and bonds are more of a “meh”. The problem with this view is that the long-end has traded terribly. Bond markets are unhappy. Not so much a case of “glass half-full” as “No soup for you bond investors!

SUBSTACK LINK: https://open.substack.com/pub/mi2partners/p/tftd-no-soup-for-bond-investors?r=1tabqm&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

Other posts

NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy December 2022 Update

BY BRIAN SANBORN
The NDR Fixed Income Allocation Strategy, Positioning Update Read more →

Thoughts From The Divide: Identifying Ducks

BY JON WEBB
While we may have missed getting out our Thoughts From The Divide year-in-review piece before the new year (mea maxima culpa), we did manage to spend some time going through our “best of” and “greatest hits” in anticipation of the changing of the calendar. As usual, there were some repeated themes and tropes, but at the highest level, what struck us was that last year seemed very much governed by the timeless question from the underrated philosopher of science, Whitney Houston: “How will I know?” (closely followed by her observation that “crack is whack”) Read more →

EURGBP Inflection Point

BY JON WEBB
Sell EURGBP above 0.85. First target 0.82. Longer term targets sub-0.80. Stop above 0.86. Read more →
Back to all posts →